Liga Profesional Argentina19:45Liga Profesional ArgentinaVIP
San Lorenzo
vs
Newells Old Boys
San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys Prediction
Final scoreSan Lorenzo 0 – 0 Newells Old Boys
Pick: Under 2.5 Goals✓ Prediction correct
Next meetingTo be announced — no fixture scheduled yet between San Lorenzo and Newells Old Boys.
AI recommended bet
Under 2.5 Goals
Odds
2.85
Confidence
45%
Predicted score
0-0
Prediction summary
This match centers on a low-scoring Under 2.5 outcome given San Lorenzo's scoring struggles and the historical tendency for draws between these two sides.
Why we like this pick
- San Lorenzo averages just 0.4 goals per game over their last ten league fixtures.
- The most recent H2H encounter ended in a scoreless 0-0 draw back in April.
- Newells Old Boys have drawn half of their last ten matches, showing high defensive resilience.
Tactical analysis
San Lorenzo likely focuses on maintaining their high clean sheet record, which stands at 14 for the season. Newells Old Boys generally adopt a conservative 0.9 goals-per-game approach, often settling for stalemates. The game will probably be contested heavily in the midfield with very few clear-cut chances created in either box. Expect a slow tempo as both sides prioritize defensive structure over attacking risks.
San Lorenzo form
San Lorenzo sits 10th in the standings with only 14 points collected this season. Their offense has been particularly stagnant, failing to score in 12 of their 29 total matches played.
Newells Old Boys form
Newells Old Boys occupy 8th place and have proven difficult to beat on the road recently. They maintain a slightly better goal difference of +2 compared to the hosts' -6 mark.
Why the model expects this outcome
The model favors a low-scoring result because San Lorenzo's offensive metrics are among the league's lowest. When combined with Newells' high draw frequency, a narrow margin or scoreless result becomes the most probable path.
Goal output (xG proxy)
With both teams averaging under one goal per game, the statistical output points toward a stalemate.
Risk factors
- An early defensive error could force a more open, high-scoring transition game.
- Newells Old Boys have conceded 1.3 goals on average, which might invite more pressure.
Confidence explanation
San Lorenzo's inconsistent 3-2-5 home form reduces confidence, as does their unpredictable tendency to lose 1-0.
Final verdict
The statistics strongly suggest a low-scoring affair, so Under 2.5 is the sensible play; gamble responsibly.
Key match statistics
San Lorenzo
vs
Newells Old Boys
Form (last 5)
WinDrawLoss
San Lorenzo
LDWLL
Newells Old Boys
DWWLD
#10
League position
#8
0.70
Goals / match
0.90
1.00
Goals against / match
1.30
14
Clean sheets
7
12
Failed to score
10
AI league insights
Average confidence
60%
Average odds
2.06
Value picks
2
Odds ≥ 2.00 and confidence ≥ 60%
Confidence distribution
n=16Low · 4
Medium · 9
High · 3
Home / Draw / Away split
n=0n=0
Top bet types
- 1 - Home Win7 · 44%
- 2 - Away Win5 · 31%
- Under 2.5 Goals2 · 13%
Standings
Apertura - Group A
| # | Club | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 31 | LDWLW |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | +13 | 30 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | +6 | 28 | WLDWD |
| 4 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 | LLDLL |
| 5 |  Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +4 | 24 | DDLWD |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 24 | DWWDW |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22 | WWLLD |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 21 | DLLLL |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 | WDWWW |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -3 | 19 | WLWWD |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 16 | WLDDL |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 16 | LDDDL |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 | 15 | WLDWD |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7 | 11 | DLDDL |
Apertura - Group B
| # | Club | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | +14 | 34 | DLDWW |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +10 | 29 | WDWLW |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 29 | WDWLD |
| 4 |  Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 28 | WWDWW |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 | LWWWD |
| 6 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 26 | WWDDD |
| 7 |  Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | +4 | 22 | LLWWW |
| 8 |  Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +2 | 21 | DLWWL |
| 9 |  Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 21 | DWWLD |
| 10 |  Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | +3 | 20 | LDLLL |
| 11 |  Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -7 | 19 | LDDWL |
| 12 |  Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -2 | 18 | DLWDD |
| 13 |  Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -5 | 14 | WLDLL |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -13 | 8 | LLLWL |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -19 | 5 | WLLLL |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Club | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 29 | WDWWW |
| 2 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 27 | WLWWD |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | +7 | 24 | WDWWW |
| 4 | Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 24 | DWWDW |
| 5 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 24 | WLDWD |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 20 | WLDWD |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | +1 | 20 | LLWLD |
| 8 | Independiente | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 19 | DDLWD |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 17 | WWLLD |
| 10 | Estudiantes L.P. | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | +1 | 14 | LDWLW |
| 11 | Union Santa Fe | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -4 | 14 | DLLLL |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -6 | 14 | WLDDL |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -3 | 12 | DLDDL |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -7 | 10 | LDDDL |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -9 | 9 | LLDLL |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Club | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +9 | 25 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 25 | WDWLD |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 25 | WWDDD |
| 4 | Belgrano Cordoba | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 22 | LWWWD |
| 5 | Sarmiento Junin | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 21 | LDDWL |
| 6 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 20 | WDWLW |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 19 | DWWLD |
| 8 | Huracan | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 19 | LLWWW |
| 9 | Independ. Rivadavia | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 19 | DLDWW |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 | WLDLL |
| 11 | Banfield | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -5 | 14 | DLWDD |
| 12 | Tigre | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 13 | LDLLL |
| 13 | Racing Club | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 12 | DLWWL |
| 14 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -9 | 9 | WLLLL |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -8 | 8 | LLLWL |
Last 5 head-to-head
- 2026-04-12Newells Old Boys0-0San Lorenzo
- 2024-07-27San Lorenzo1-1Newells Old Boys
- 2024-03-04Newells Old Boys2-2San Lorenzo
- 2023-10-07San Lorenzo0-3Newells Old Boys
- 2023-03-20Newells Old Boys1-0San Lorenzo
All meetings
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 October 2026 at 01:15 | Liga Profesional Argentina | San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys | 0 : 0 |
Prediction reviews
Matchup hit rate: 100% (1/1 settled tips correct)
- Correct
San Lorenzo 0 : 0 Newells Old Boys
25 October 2026 at 01:15 · Liga Profesional Argentina
Pick: Under 2.5 GoalsOdds: 2.85Confidence: 45%
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