La Liga17:15La LigaVIP
Alaves
vs
Malaga
Alaves vs Malaga Prediction
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Match preview
Alaves host Malaga in La Liga on Friday 23 October at 22:00 EEST at Estadio Mendizorrotza.
Alaves's recorded recent form covers 10 matches: 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats, with 16 goals scored and 9 conceded.
Alaves are 7th on 11 points with a goal difference of +4, while Malaga are 20th on 4 points with a goal difference of -9.
Across the recorded season, Alaves average 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match; Malaga average 0.50 scored and 1.60 conceded.
The stored head-to-head record contains 5 recent meetings; the latest listed result was Alaves 2-1 Malaga on 2023-05-20.
Key match statistics
Alaves
vs
Malaga
Form (last 5)
WinDrawLoss
Alaves
WDWDW
#7
League position
#20
1.50
Goals / match
0.50
1.00
Goals against / match
1.60
3
Clean sheets
1
2
Failed to score
4
AI league insights
Average confidence
56%
Average odds
2.10
Confidence distribution
n=11Low · 6
Medium · 2
High · 3
Home / Draw / Away split
n=0n=0
Top bet types
- 1 - Home Win4 · 36%
- 2 - Away Win3 · 27%
- BTTS - Yes2 · 18%
Standings
| # | Club | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 22 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 | WLWWL |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 | DLWWD |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 | WWLWD |
| 7 | Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 | LDLLW |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | DLDLD |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 | DLWWL |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 | DWDDD |
| 11 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 | DDWW |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 | DWLW |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 | LWLDD |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 | LDLLL |
| 17 |  Levante | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 7 | DDLLD |
| 18 |  Elche | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 | DDWLD |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 | DLWLL |
| 20 | Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 | DLLDD |
Last 5 head-to-head
- 2023-05-20Alaves2-1Malaga
- 2022-12-18Malaga1-0Alaves
- 2018-05-06Malaga0-3Alaves
- 2017-12-21Alaves1-0Malaga
- 2017-03-11Malaga1-2Alaves
All meetings
No completed meetings between these teams yet. This page will build up a full head-to-head record as they meet again.
Prediction reviews
No graded predictions for this matchup yet. Every tip we publish for these teams will be reviewed here once the match is settled.
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- La LigaHigh · 78%Real Madrid1.451 - Home WinSevilla
Real Madrid are heavily favored to secure three points at home due to their clinical scoring record and dominant historical head-to-head advantage over Sevilla. • Real Madrid have won all five of the most recent head-to-head encounters against Sevilla. • The hosts average a high 2.4 goals per game, demonstrating significant offensive efficiency this season. • Sevilla have struggled for consistency on the road, suffering four losses in their last ten outings. Real Madrid currently occupy 4th place with 18 points, driven by an impressive eight wins from ten matches. Their home attack is potent, having netted 24 goals already, maintaining a strong +11 goal difference. Sevilla sit just one spot behind in 5th but trail the hosts by five points after nine rounds. While they score regularly, a negative away goal difference highlights defensive vulnerabilities when facing top-tier opposition. Real Madrid will likely dictate the tempo through high possession, utilizing their 2.4 goals-per-match average to stretch Sevilla's backline. Sevilla typically look to counter-attack, but their 1.3 goals-against average suggests they will struggle to contain Madrid's multi-pronged offensive transitions. The game should be played primarily in Sevilla's defensive third, as the hosts look to exploit the wings and capitalize on their superior 11-goal difference. The hosts' average of 2.4 goals per game suggests a high-conversion rate that far outpaces Sevilla's mid-range defensive stats. The model favors a home win because the five-point gap in the standings is reinforced by Madrid's perfect recent H2H record. The combination of Madrid's high scoring average and Sevilla's inability to keep clean sheets against elite teams points toward a home victory. Confidence is high due to H2H dominance, though Sevilla's ability to score in every game this season adds some volatility. • Sevilla's perfect scoring record across seven games could lead to a disruptive early away goal. • Madrid recently suffered two losses in their last five league games, showing occasional defensive lapses. Back Real Madrid to secure a standard home victory and remember to gamble responsibly.
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