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La Liga

Spain

Season 202617 AI Predictions30 Upcoming Matches

AI league insights

Calculated from the published predictions for this league.

Average confidence
63%
Average odds
1.93
Value picks
1
Odds ≥ 2.00 and confidence ≥ 60%

Confidence distribution

n=17
Low · 6
Medium · 6
High · 5

Home / Draw / Away split

n=0

Insufficient 1/X/2 sample (n=0)

Top bet types

  • 1 - Home Win6 · 35%
  • 2 - Away Win5 · 29%
  • BTTS - Yes2 · 12%

Latest AI predictions

  • La Liga
    Med · 62%
    Osasuna logo
    Osasuna
    1.951 - Home Win
    Espanyol logo
    Espanyol

    Osasuna are favored to secure a home victory due to their superior defensive discipline and unbeaten start to the current campaign. • Osasuna sit 6th in the table and remain undefeated through their first three league matches. • The home side has kept two clean sheets in three games, conceding only 0.3 goals per match. • Espanyol have struggled for consistency early on, losing two of their first three fixtures. • Osasuna's defensive metrics suggest they can neutralize an Espanyol side that recently lost the last two H2H meetings at El Sadar. Osasuna have started the season strongly, occupying 6th place with seven points from three matches. They have maintained a solid defensive record at home, averaging just 0.3 goals against during this early period. Espanyol are currently 14th after picking up only three points from their opening three games. While they average 1.7 goals scored, their defense has been porous, conceding 1.3 goals per match so far. Osasuna will likely look to control the tempo through a compact mid-block, leveraging their 67% clean-sheet rate to frustrate the visitors. Espanyol typically play more expansively, evidenced by their higher scoring average, but this often leaves them vulnerable to transitions. Expect the home side to prioritize defensive stability before clinical counter-attacks, potentially resulting in a low-scoring affair dominated by physical duels in the midfield. The contrast between Osasuna's 0.3 goals against and Espanyol's 1.7 goals for suggests a clash of styles where defensive efficiency usually prevails. The model favors the home side because their defensive efficiency correlates highly with match results in early-season samples. Combining their unbeaten status with Espanyol's negative goal difference highlights a clear gap in current tactical execution. Confidence is tempered by the H2H history, as Espanyol managed to win 2-1 during their most recent visit to El Sadar. • Espanyol's high scoring average of 1.7 goals could breach Osasuna's disciplined backline. • A repeat of the 2-1 H2H result from May 2026 remains a statistical possibility. Back Osasuna to utilize their defensive strength for a narrow home win; please gamble responsibly.

  • La Liga
    Med · 68%
    Athletic Club logo
    Athletic Club
    1.551 - Home Win
    Elche logo
    Elche

    Athletic Club are expected to secure a home victory as they face an Elche side struggling for consistency after managing only two wins in their last ten matches. • Elche have failed to win 80% of their last ten fixtures across all competitions. • The visitors average just 1.2 goals per game, suggesting a limited offensive threat away. • Athletic Club historically dominate at San Mames against teams currently sitting in lower league tiers. • Market sentiment heavily favors a home win despite the early-season lack of deep statistical data. Athletic Club enters this season fixture with a clean slate, having played zero games so far. They typically rely on their formidable home environment to secure points against recently promoted or struggling sides. Elche shows a concerning trend with a 2-5-3 record over their last ten outings. Their defense has been vulnerable, conceding 17 goals during that period while struggling to convert draws into wins. Athletic Club is expected to apply high pressure from the start, looking to exploit Elche's defensive gaps shown in their recent 1.7 goals-conceded average. Elche will likely sit deep to manage their poor defensive form, which has seen them win only once in their last five games. The pace of the home side should eventually break down a visitor block that frequently settles for low-scoring draws. Elche's goal difference of minus five over ten games highlights a persistent struggle to match their defensive output with scoring efficiency. The model favors the home side due to Elche's high draw percentage and inability to keep clean sheets. By weighing the visitors' 30% loss rate against a superior Athletic squad, a home win emerges as the most probable outcome. A lack of current-season data for Athletic Club slightly lowers the confidence score despite Elche's poor form. • Elche has recorded five draws in ten matches, indicating they are difficult to fully beat. • Lack of competitive match fitness for Athletic Club could lead to a slow, sluggish start. Athletic Club should prove too strong for the visitors; please remember to gamble responsibly.

  • La Liga
    High · 78%
    Real Madrid logo
    Real Madrid
    1.451 - Home Win
    Rayo Vallecano logo
    Rayo Vallecano

    Real Madrid are heavily favored to secure all three points due to their superior scoring average and a strong run of eight wins in their last ten matches. • Real Madrid averages 2.5 goals per game while Rayo Vallecano concedes 2.5 on average. • The home side has won eight of their last ten matches across all competitions. • Rayo Vallecano has suffered six defeats in their previous ten outings showing defensive fragility. • Real Madrid won the most recent H2H fixture at the Bernabeu with a 2-1 scoreline. Real Madrid currently occupies 3rd place with 9 points after winning three of their first four games. Their offensive output is elite, having scored 26 goals over their last ten fixtures. Rayo Vallecano sits 13th in the table with only 4 points and a negative goal difference. They have struggled significantly on the road, losing six of their last ten matches overall. Real Madrid will likely dominate possession and use their 2.5 goals-per-game average to pressure a Rayo defense that hasn't kept a clean sheet this season. Rayo Vallecano tends to play open games, evidenced by their 1.8 goals scored per match, which should create space for Madrid's attackers. Expect the home side to exploit the wings to break down Rayo's low block. The data suggests a high-scoring affair as Rayo's 2.5 goals conceded per match perfectly aligns with Madrid's 2.5 goals scored. The model leans toward a home win because the discrepancy in defensive quality is vast, with Madrid conceding less than a goal per game. While Rayo finds the net consistently, their inability to prevent goals makes a Madrid victory the most statistically probable outcome. Confidence is tempered slightly by Rayo's ability to score in every game this season and a 3-3 draw in recent H2H history. • Rayo Vallecano has not failed to score in any of their four league matches. • Two of the last five head-to-head meetings have ended in draws. Back Real Madrid to secure a standard home victory and remember to gamble responsibly.

  • La Liga
    Low · 48%
    Celta Vigo logo
    Celta Vigo
    1.55Under 2.5 Goals
    Malaga logo
    Malaga

    Under 2.5 goals is the primary selection as both struggling sides have averaged just 0.3 goals scored per game across their opening four league fixtures. • Both clubs have failed to score in 75% of their matches so far this season. • Celta Vigo have maintained clean sheets in half of their games despite sitting in 17th. • The most recent H2H encounter between these two sides ended in a scoreless 0-0 draw. Celta Vigo sit in 17th place with two points and a troubling DLLD form sequence. While they have struggled to win, they have managed two clean sheets in four matches. Malaga occupy 18th position, also on two points, but with a significantly worse goal difference of -6. Their defensive record is poor, conceding 1.8 goals per game on average. With both teams winless and averaging under half a goal per game, this encounter will likely be a cautious affair defined by midfield congestion. Celta Vigo will attempt to exploit their slightly better defensive organization, while Malaga will likely sit deep to avoid adding to their 1.8 goals against average. Expect a low-tempo battle where a single mistake or set-piece decides the outcome. A combined goals-for average of just 0.6 per match suggests that neither side currently possesses the creative efficiency to sustain offensive pressure. The model prioritizes the Under 2.5 market because both teams show a high frequency of failing to score. Celta Vigo's superior defensive stability at home gives them a slight edge in a low-scoring scenario. Confidence is tempered by Malaga's high goals-against average, which could lead to defensive collapses if an early goal is conceded. • Malaga's defense conceding multiple times as seen in their 1.8 goals against average. • A rogue red card or penalty disrupting the expected low-scoring tactical setup. Back a low-scoring game given the poor attacking output of both sides; please gamble responsibly.

  • La Liga
    High · 85%
    Levante logo
    Levante
    1.452 - Away Win
    Barcelona logo
    Barcelona

    Barcelona are heavily favored to secure an away win given their perfect start to the season and an overwhelming offensive output compared to the hosts. • Barcelona maintain a perfect record with four wins from four matches and 12 points total. • The visitors average a massive 4.3 goals per game while failing to score in zero matches. • Barcelona won the last four head-to-head encounters against Levante, scoring three goals in each win. Levante currently sit in 10th place with a balanced record of one win and two draws. Their 1.3 goals against average suggests a defense that struggles to keep elite attackers quiet. The league leaders boast a staggering +15 goal difference after just four games played. They have kept three clean sheets and show no signs of slowing down their offensive momentum. Barcelona likely dominate possession and pin Levante deep into their own half to exploit their 4.3 goals per match scoring rate. Levante will rely on a low block to frustrate the leaders, but their history of conceding three goals per game in this fixture suggests they will struggle. The game should open up once the visitors break the deadlock, forcing Levante to abandon their defensive shape. Barcelona's prolific scoring rate of over four goals per game makes an away victory the most statistically probable outcome. The model favors the away side due to the extreme disparity in scoring efficiency and current momentum. While Levante are respectable at home, Barcelona's historical dominance and 100% win rate this season create a high-probability win scenario. Confidence is high due to form, though Levante's two clean sheets this season provide a small defensive cushion. • Levante managed a 3-3 draw in a recent home head-to-head encounter against these opponents. • A potential drop in clinical finishing from Barcelona could result in a narrow, frustrating draw. Back Barcelona to continue their winning streak while remembering to always gamble within your personal limits.

  • La Liga
    Low · 45%
    Getafe logo
    Getafe
    2.45X2 - Draw or Away
    Deportivo La Coruna logo
    Deportivo La Coruna

    Backing Deportivo La Coruna to avoid defeat at the Coliseum due to their superior scoring consistency and unbeaten resilience in recent away fixtures. • Deportivo La Coruna have lost only one of their last ten matches across all competitions. • Getafe average a meager 0.3 goals scored per game over their last three league outings. • The visitors have scored in every match this season, averaging 2.0 goals per away game. Getafe have struggled for consistency, recording five losses in their last ten matches while failing to score in two of their last three. Their goal difference remains negative at -5 during this period. Deportivo La Coruna are enjoying a stable run, losing just once in their previous ten games and drawing half of them. They remain a constant threat, having scored 13 times in that span. Getafe will likely attempt to lower the tempo and rely on their defensive shape to stifle the visitors, as evidenced by their low 0.3 scoring average. Deportivo La Coruna favor a more expansive approach, having conceded 1.3 goals per game while maintaining a high offensive output. Expect a clash between Getafe's low-block frustration and Deportivo's persistent 2.0 goals-per-game attacking pressure in the middle third. The disparity between Getafe's 0.3 goals for and Deportivo's 2.0 average suggests the visitors will generate significantly more quality chances. The model favors the visitors based on their consistent goal-scoring record and ability to grind out results on the road. Getafe's lack of offensive production makes a home win statistically improbable even with home advantage. The high number of draws in Deportivo's recent form and Getafe's 3-0 H2H history slightly lowers the confidence in a straight away win. • Getafe successfully parking the bus to secure a low-scoring 0-0 or 1-0 result. • Deportivo's defense failing to keep their first clean sheet of the season after four attempts. The Double Chance for Deportivo offers the most security in this matchup; please gamble responsibly.

  • La Liga
    Low · 48%
    Real Sociedad logo
    Real Sociedad
    1.95BTTS - Yes
    Atletico Madrid logo
    Atletico Madrid

    We are backing Both Teams to Score in this clash as historical trends and recent defensive struggles for both sides point toward goals at both ends of the pitch. • Four of the last five head-to-head meetings between these clubs ended with both teams scoring. • Real Sociedad has failed to keep a clean sheet in three of their last four matches. • Atletico Madrid averages 1.8 goals per game while conceding 1.5, showing high offensive-defensive volatility. Real Sociedad currently sits 14th in La Liga with just one win from their opening four matches. Their home record over the last ten games shows five defeats and an average of 1.7 goals conceded. Atletico Madrid holds 6th place with seven points, having already secured two victories in their first four fixtures. Although they show no away data yet this season, they average 1.8 goals scored overall. Atletico Madrid likely looks to exploit the space behind Sociedad's high line, utilizing their 1.8 goal-per-game average to pressure a home defense that has only kept one clean sheet. Real Sociedad typically maintains possession at the Anoeta, aiming to break down Atletico's structure which is currently allowing 1.5 goals against. Expect a mid-tempo game where transitional moments lead to high-quality chances for both forward lines. With both teams averaging 1.5 goals against per match, defensive vulnerabilities are likely to be exploited by the active front lines. The model favors BTTS because the defensive averages for both sides outweigh their ability to maintain clean sheets. Furthermore, the 80% occurrence of this outcome in recent H2H history creates a strong statistical floor for the pick. The lack of specific away form data for Atletico Madrid this season slightly tempers the overall confidence level. • A conservative tactical approach by Simeone could result in a low-scoring 0-0 or 1-0 result. • Real Sociedad's 0.8 goals-for average suggests they may struggle to convert their created chances. Both teams finding the net represents the most consistent trend; please remember to gamble responsibly.

  • La Liga
    Med · 58%
    Villarreal logo
    Villarreal
    2.652 - Away Win
    Real Betis logo
    Real Betis

    Real Betis are favored to take all three points due to their superior fourth-place standing and Villarreal's winless start to the season. • Real Betis have secured three wins in four games while Villarreal remain winless this season. • Villarreal concede two goals per game on average and have failed to keep any clean sheets. • The away side has already recorded three clean sheets in four matches, showing defensive stability. Villarreal currently sit 16th in the table having picked up just two points from four matches. They are struggling defensively, as evidenced by a -2 goal difference and a run of LLDD. Real Betis are in excellent form with nine points from four games, placing them in 4th position. Their recent form of WLWW suggests a high level of consistency and momentum heading into this clash. Real Betis are likely to exploit Villarreal's defensive gaps, given the hosts concede an average of 2.0 goals per match. Villarreal will look to utilize their 1.5 goals-for average to stay competitive, but their lack of clean sheets makes them vulnerable to Betis's efficient counter-attacking style. Expect a high-tempo game where Betis controls the mid-zone to prevent Villarreal from breaking their four-game winless streak. With a combined average of 2.8 goals scored per game, the metrics suggest a high-scoring encounter is likely. The model favors the away side because the 7-point gap in the standings reflects a significant disparity in current efficiency. While H2H history shows Villarreal can score, their poor defensive metrics outweigh their offensive output. Confidence is tempered by the fact that Villarreal won two of the last three H2H meetings at this venue. • Villarreal's desperation for a first win could lead to a more aggressive, high-pressure performance. • H2H history shows frequent high-scoring draws that could nullify a straight away win bet. Real Betis offer the best value to continue their strong form; please remember to gamble responsibly.

  • La Liga
    High · 78%
    Alaves logo
    Alaves
    1.751 - Home Win
    Valencia logo
    Valencia

    Alaves are tipped to secure a home victory as they face a struggling Valencia side currently rooted to the bottom of the La Liga table. • Alaves currently sit 2nd in the league with an unbeaten four-match start to the season. • Valencia have lost three of their first four games, failing to score in three matches. • The home side averages 2.5 goals per game while Valencia concede 2.3 goals on average. Alaves are in excellent rhythm, occupying 2nd place with 10 points from their opening four fixtures. They have maintained a solid defensive record at Mendizorrotza, conceding only 0.8 goals per game so far. Valencia are struggling at the bottom of the table in 20th place with just one point. Their away form is concerning, having scored only 0.3 goals per game while losing 60% of their last ten matches. Alaves will likely dominate possession and use their high-scoring average of 2.5 goals to pressure a fragile Valencia defense. The visitors have failed to score in 75% of their league matches this season, suggesting they will sit deep and look to counter. Expect Alaves to control the tempo through the midfield while Valencia struggles to transition effectively into the final third. Alaves show clinical efficiency with a 2.5 goals-for average, starkly contrasting Valencia’s inability to convert chances, evidenced by three blanks in four games. The model favors the home side due to the massive 9-point gap in the standings after just four rounds. Combining Alaves' strong defensive record of two clean sheets with Valencia's poor offensive output makes a home win the most statistical probability. The high confidence is driven by the stark contrast in league positions, though the recent 3-2 H2H loss for Alaves keeps the number below 80. • Valencia secured a 3-2 victory in the most recent head-to-head encounter. • A low-scoring draw could occur if Valencia successfully parks the bus for ninety minutes. Back Alaves to continue their strong start with a comfortable home win; please gamble responsibly.

  • La Liga
    Low · 45%
    Rayo Vallecano logo
    Rayo Vallecano
    1.75BTTS - Yes
    Espanyol logo
    Espanyol

    This matchup favors both teams finding the net, as Rayo Vallecano's defensive struggles collide with a consistent scoring record from both sides in the opening four matches. • Rayo Vallecano have failed to keep a clean sheet across their first four league games. • Espanyol averaged 2.0 goals scored per game over their last 10 outings in all competitions. • Both clubs have scored in every single match they have played so far this season. • Neither side has shown defensive stability, with Rayo conceding an average of 2.5 goals per game. Rayo Vallecano currently sit 14th in the table with 4 points from their opening four fixtures. Their form has been inconsistent, losing 6 of their last 10 matches while conceding 21 total goals. Espanyol occupy 12th place, also on 4 points, but with a superior goal difference of +1. They are currently unbeaten in their last two games, showing resilience with three draws recently. Rayo Vallecano typically utilize the tight dimensions of Vallecas to pressure opponents, resulting in high-scoring affairs like their recent 1.8 goals-for average. Espanyol are likely to exploit Rayo's high defensive line, which has leaked 2.5 goals per match this term. Expect a transition-heavy game where the midfield is bypassed frequently, leading to numerous chances for the visiting attackers who have scored 20 goals in 10 games. With both sides averaging over 1.5 goals per game, the offensive efficiency suggests the current defensive averages are unsustainable for a clean sheet. The model prioritizes the 100% scoring rate of both teams this season over the head-to-head history. Rayo's high goals-against average of 2.5 indicates a vulnerability that Espanyol's consistent 1.5 goals-for average is well-equipped to exploit. High scoring trends boost confidence, though the recent 1-0 results in historical H2H meetings suggest a risk of a tactical deadlock. • A cautious approach from Espanyol could mirror their recent 1-0 head-to-head victory. • Poor finishing from Rayo despite their high volume of chances created at home. Backing both teams to score offers the most logical value given the current defensive statistics; gamble responsibly.

  • La Liga
    High · 82%
    Elche logo
    Elche
    1.452 - Away Win
    Real Madrid logo
    Real Madrid

    Real Madrid are heavily favored to secure an away win due to their superior 80% win rate and Elche's struggles in 19th place. • Real Madrid have won 8 of their last 10 matches while Elche only managed 2 victories. • The visitors average 2.4 goals per game, significantly outclassing Elche's porous defense. • In their most recent H2H meeting, Real Madrid dominated the scoreline with a 4-1 victory. Elche sits 19th in the standings with just one point from four matches and a -7 goal difference. They have failed to win any of their last four league fixtures, losing three. Real Madrid occupies 3rd place, boasting 9 points and a strong run of three consecutive wins. Their offensive output is elite, netting 24 goals across their previous 10 competitive outings. Real Madrid will likely control the midfield and utilize their high-scoring efficiency, which has produced 2.4 goals per match recently. Elche, conceding 1.8 goals per game on average, will probably sit deep to mitigate damage. The mismatch in individual quality suggests Madrid will find space in the final third, especially given Elche's tendency to draw or lose when pressured. The disparity between Madrid's 2.4 goals scored and Elche's 1.8 goals conceded per game points toward a high-scoring away win. The model favors the away side because of the massive gap in league rank and recent momentum. While Elche occasionally forces draws, Madrid's superior scoring depth and 80% recent win rate make an upset highly improbable. Elche's ability to secure home draws in previous H2H meetings, such as the 2-2 in 2025, slightly tempers the confidence level. • Elche managed 2-2 draws in two of the last five head-to-head encounters. • Heavy rotation from the favorites could lead to a low-scoring, frustrating stalemate. Back Real Madrid to take all three points comfortably; please remember to gamble within your limits.

  • La Liga
    Low · 45%
    Deportivo La Coruna logo
    Deportivo La Coruna
    3.25X - Draw
    Sevilla logo
    Sevilla

    This match centers on a draw as both sides look to maintain their unbeaten streaks in a clash between two top-six teams separated by only one point. • Deportivo La Coruna have drawn five of their last ten matches across all competitions. • The teams are neck-and-neck in the table, occupying the 5th and 6th positions respectively. • Historical data shows two draws in the last five head-to-head encounters between these clubs. Deportivo La Coruna currently sit 5th in the standings with 8 points from their opening fixtures. Their recent ten-match record shows defensive stability, having conceded less than one goal per game on average. Sevilla occupy 6th place with 7 points, having secured five wins in their last ten matches. While they average 1.8 goals scored per game, they have failed to keep a clean sheet recently. Deportivo will likely focus on their established defensive shape that has yielded five draws in ten games, prioritizing control at the Estadio Municipal de Riazor. Sevilla's tendency to score and concede in every match suggests they will push the tempo, but Deportivo's structured backline is designed to absorb such pressure. Expect a cagey midfield battle where neither side manages to pull away decisively over ninety minutes. Sevilla's high scoring average of 1.8 is offset by a 1.5 goals-against rate, suggesting a volatile game state that Deportivo's low-scoring trend typically neutralizes. The model identifies a high probability of a stalemate because Deportivo’s high draw frequency intersects with Sevilla’s lack of defensive shutouts. With only one point separating them in the league, both teams are incentivized to avoid a loss against a direct rival. Confidence is tempered by Sevilla's scoring efficiency, as their 1.8 goals-per-game average could easily tip the result toward an away win. • A late individual error could break the deadlock in an otherwise even tactical battle. • Sevilla’s high offensive output might overwhelm a Deportivo side that struggles to outscore opponents. A tightly contested draw is the most probable outcome at Riazor; please remember to gamble responsibly.

Standings

#ClubMPWDLGDPtsForm
1
Barcelona
4400+1512WWWW
2
Alaves
4310+710WWDW
3
Real Madrid
4301+79LWWW
4
Real Betis
430109WLWW
5
Deportivo La Coruna
4220+38WWDD
6
Sevilla
4211+17DLWW
7
Atletico Madrid
4211+17LWDW
8
Osasuna
4211-17LWWD
9
Real Sociedad
5212-27WDWLL
10
Athletic Club
4202+16WWLL
11
Levante
412105DWDL
12
Espanyol
4112+14DLLW
13
Racing Santander
4112-14LWLD
14
Rayo Vallecano
4112-34WLDL
15
Getafe
4112-34DLWL
16
Celta Vigo
5032-33DDLLD
17
Villarreal
4022-22LLDD
18
Malaga
4022-62DLDL
19
Elche
4013-71LLLD
20
Valencia
4013-81LLLD

Upcoming matches (no prediction yet)

Predictions for these matches will be published shortly.

Fri 18 Sept

  • 22:00
    EspanyolvsElche

Sat 19 Sept

  • 15:00
    OsasunavsRayo Vallecano
  • 17:15
    Athletic ClubvsAlaves
  • 19:30
    Celta VigovsRacing Santander
  • 22:00
    SevillavsBarcelona

Sun 20 Sept

  • 15:00
    GetafevsMalaga
  • 17:15
    Atletico MadridvsReal Madrid
  • 19:30
    Deportivo La CorunavsReal Betis
  • 19:30
    VillarrealvsLevante
  • 22:00
    ValenciavsReal Sociedad

Sun 11 Oct

  • 18:00
    BarcelonavsGetafe

About the league

Discover the latest AI-powered predictions, analysis and odds for La Liga (Spain). We cover upcoming fixtures in the 2026 season, team form, goal stats and recommended bets.

La Liga is played in a regular league format every year. This season (2026) tracks each team's performance, points earned and standings position.

We currently publish 17 AI predictions for 30 upcoming matches. Average prediction confidence is 63%, with an average odds of 1.93.

On the league page we bring together upcoming matches, live standings and the highest-confidence AI predictions so you can quickly compare team form and the value of the current odds.