League One21:45League OneVIP
Stevenage
vs
Wigan
Stevenage vs Wigan Prediction
Final scoreStevenage 1 – 0 Wigan
Pick: 1 - Home Win✓ Prediction correct
Next meetingTo be announced — no fixture scheduled yet between Stevenage and Wigan.
AI recommended bet
1 - Home Win
Odds
1.95
Confidence
68%
Predicted score
2-0
Prediction summary
Stevenage are tipped to secure a home victory as they face a struggling Wigan side currently sitting at the bottom of the League One table.
Why we like this pick
- Wigan have suffered five defeats in nine matches, leaving them in 24th place.
- Stevenage boast a positive goal difference of plus three compared to Wigan's minus seven.
- The visitors conceded 16 goals in their opening nine fixtures, averaging nearly two per game.
Tactical analysis
Stevenage are likely to control the tempo through a structured defense that has limited opponents to 1.1 goals per game. Wigan's inconsistent backline will be forced to absorb pressure, especially given their tendency to concede early. Expect the home side to exploit Wigan's low confidence by keeping the ball in the final third, while the visitors rely on counter-attacks that have yielded little success recently.
Stevenage form
Stevenage currently occupy 13th place having collected nine points from their opening seven league outings. While they have failed to score in two games, their 1.6 goals-per-match average remains steady.
Wigan form
Wigan are in poor form with only one win in their last five league matches. Their defensive record is concerning, having already allowed 16 goals against them this season.
Why the model expects this outcome
The model prioritizes the 11-point gap in effective performance and Wigan's last-place standing. Despite a balanced head-to-head history, Stevenage's superior defensive stability at the SPORTA Arena makes them the clear favorites against a team with five losses.
Goal output (xG proxy)
Stevenage's 1.6 goals for average significantly outweighs Wigan's defensive struggles, suggesting a high probability of the home side finding the net.
Risk factors
- Wigan managed a 2-1 win at this venue in early 2025.
- Two of the last four meetings ended in goalless draws.
Confidence explanation
A lack of recent clean sheets for the hosts and two historical 0-0 draws slightly lowers the confidence in a high-scoring win.
Final verdict
Stevenage should capitalize on the visitors' defensive frailties to claim all three points; please gamble responsibly.
Key match statistics
Stevenage
vs
Wigan
Form (last 5)
WinDrawLoss
Wigan
WLLWL
#13
League position
#24
1.60
Goals / match
N/A
1.10
Goals against / match
N/A
1
Clean sheets
N/A
2
Failed to score
N/A
AI league insights
Average confidence
57%
Average odds
2.21
Value picks
1
Odds ≥ 2.00 and confidence ≥ 60%
Confidence distribution
n=5Low · 2
Medium · 3
High · 0
Home / Draw / Away split
n=0n=0
Top bet types
- 1 - Home Win2 · 40%
- 2 - Away Win1 · 20%
- X2 - Draw or Away1 · 20%
Standings
| # | Club | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Plymouth | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 16 | WLWWW |
| 2 |  Bradford | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 16 | DWWWL |
| 3 |  Huddersfield | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 15 | WLDDW |
| 4 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 | DDWWW |
| 5 |  Stockport County | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 13 | WDLWL |
| 6 |  Cambridge United | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 13 | DDWDW |
| 7 |  Reading | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 12 | DDWLW |
| 8 |  Burton Albion | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 | LWDLD |
| 9 |  AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 12 | DDWWL |
| 10 |  Oxford United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 11 | DWWLW |
| 11 |  Leyton Orient | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 10 | LWLDW |
| 12 |  Wycombe | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 10 | DWWDL |
| 13 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 | LWWDD |
| 14 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 | DWLWD |
| 15 |  Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 16 |  Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 | LLDWL |
| 17 |  Mansfield Town | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 | DDLLW |
| 18 |  Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 | DLLWW |
| 19 |  Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -10 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 20 |  Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 | LLDDW |
| 21 |  Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 | WLLDD |
| 22 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 6 | DDDLD |
| 23 |  Peterborough | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 | LLDLD |
| 24 | Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 | LDLWL |
Last 5 head-to-head
- 2026-05-02Stevenage1-0Wigan
- 2025-11-29Wigan0-0Stevenage
- 2025-01-18Stevenage1-2Wigan
- 2024-09-24Wigan0-0Stevenage
- 2024-01-27Wigan2-3Stevenage
All meetings
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 October 2026 at 17:00 | League One | Stevenage vs Wigan | 1 : 0 |
Prediction reviews
Matchup hit rate: 100% (1/1 settled tips correct)
- Correct
Stevenage 1 : 0 Wigan
10 October 2026 at 17:00 · League One
Pick: 1 - Home WinOdds: 1.95Confidence: 68%
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Plzen
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