Eliteserien15:30EliteserienVIP
Molde
vs
Start
Molde vs Start Prediction
AI recommended bet
1 - Home Win
Odds
1.45
Confidence
78%
Predicted score
3-1
Prediction summary
Molde are heavy favorites to secure three points at the Aker Stadion due to their overwhelming home scoring record of 3.7 goals per game.
Why we like this pick
- Molde have won 70% of their home fixtures while averaging over three goals per match.
- Start possess a poor defensive record on the road, conceding 2.2 goals per game average.
- The historical H2H record favors the hosts with four wins in their last five meetings.
Tactical analysis
Molde likely dictate play through high-volume attacking transitions, utilizing a home scoring rate that averages 2.1 goals per match. Start will struggle to maintain a low block, as they only kept two clean sheets in 22 matches. The disparity in finishing quality suggests the hosts will exploit spaces in wide areas to overwhelm the visitors' backline, which is prone to conceding multiple goals.
Molde form
Molde have been dominant at home, securing seven wins from ten matches while racking up 37 goals in that span. Their current form shows six wins in their last eight games, maintaining high offensive output.
Start form
Start have struggled for consistency, losing four of their ten away matches and failing to score in seven games this season. Their leaky defense has allowed 16 goals across their recent ten outings.
Why the model expects this outcome
The model favors the home side based on the stark contrast between Molde's 37 home goals and Start's defensive frailties. While the 1-1 draw in April suggests resistance, Molde's superior H2H history at this venue provides a high probability for a home win.
Goal output (xG proxy)
Molde's offensive efficiency of 2.1 goals per game significantly outweighs Start's underwhelming 1.1 scoring average.
Risk factors
- A repeat of the 1-1 draw seen in their most recent April encounter.
- Start finding defensive stability to exploit Molde's 1.5 goals against average.
Confidence explanation
The high confidence is driven by Molde's home dominance, though Start's ability to occasionally snatch away wins keeps the percentage below 80.
Final verdict
Back Molde to leverage their home advantage for a comfortable victory; please gamble responsibly.
Key match statistics
Molde
vs
Start
Form (last 5)
WinDrawLoss
Molde
WWWWL
Start
WLWWL
2.10
Goals / match
1.10
1.50
Goals against / match
2.20
4
Clean sheets
2
2
Failed to score
7
AI league insights
Average confidence
64%
Average odds
1.74
Confidence distribution
n=7Low · 2
Medium · 3
High · 2
Home / Draw / Away split
n=0n=0
Top bet types
- 2 - Away Win2 · 29%
- 1 - Home Win2 · 29%
- Over 2.5 Goals1 · 14%
Standings
| # | Club | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | +36 | 53 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | +36 | 53 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | +11 | 39 | DWLLD |
| 4 | Molde | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +12 | 37 | DLWWW |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | +9 | 34 | DWWWL |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | -1 | 33 | DLWWL |
| 7 |  Brann | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | +5 | 29 | LWLLD |
| 8 |  Fredrikstad | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | -7 | 29 | DDDLW |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -3 | 28 | WLDDD |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -9 | 28 | WWWLL |
| 11 |  Ham-Kam | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -13 | 26 | WLLLD |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -6 | 24 | DWLDD |
| 13 |  Valerenga | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -10 | 23 | LDLDL |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | -15 | 21 | LWLWL |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -21 | 19 | LLLWD |
| 16 | Start | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -24 | 16 | LLWLW |
Last 5 head-to-head
- 2026-04-19Start1-1Molde
- 2020-08-05Molde5-0Start
- 2020-06-24Start2-3Molde
- 2018-10-29Start1-3Molde
- 2018-05-27Molde3-1Start
All meetings
No completed meetings between these teams yet. This page will build up a full head-to-head record as they meet again.
Prediction reviews
No graded predictions for this matchup yet. Every tip we publish for these teams will be reviewed here once the match is settled.
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