Allsvenskan19:30AllsvenskanVIP
Degerfors IF
vs
Hammarby FF
Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF Prediction
Final scoreDegerfors IF 0 – 1 Hammarby FF
Pick: 2 - Away Win✓ Prediction correct
Next meetingTo be announced — no fixture scheduled yet between Degerfors IF and Hammarby FF.
AI recommended bet
2 - Away Win
Odds
1.75
Confidence
72%
Predicted score
1-3
Prediction summary
We are backing Hammarby FF to secure an away victory due to their dominant league position and significantly superior offensive efficiency compared to the hosts.
Why we like this pick
- Hammarby FF sit 2nd in the table, holding a massive 21-point lead over Degerfors IF.
- The visitors average 2.3 goals per game and have failed to score only twice.
- Hammarby dominated the previous H2H meeting in July with a convincing 4-0 victory.
Tactical analysis
Hammarby likely dictates the tempo through sustained possession, exploiting a Degerfors defense that concedes 1.6 goals per game. The hosts will probably sit deep to counter their 45% failure-to-score rate, but the visitors' high-octane attack should find gaps. Expect the play to concentrate in the Degerfors defensive third as the title contenders push for early dominance.
Degerfors IF form
Degerfors IF occupy 14th place and have struggled for consistency, losing six of their last ten home matches. While they average 1.2 goals at Stora Valla, their defense has conceded 15 times in ten games.
Hammarby FF form
The visitors are in excellent overall form, currently sitting 12 places higher than their opponents. With a positive goal difference of 28, they represent one of the most clinical sides in the Allsvenskan.
Why the model expects this outcome
The model favors the away side because the 21-point gulf in standings is mirrored by superior underlying scoring metrics. Even with home advantage, Degerfors' trend of losing 60% of their recent home fixtures makes an upset statistically unlikely against the league's second-best team.
Goal output (xG proxy)
The stark contrast between Hammarby's 2.3 goals scored and Degerfors' 1.6 conceded suggests the away side will find multiple scoring opportunities.
Risk factors
- Degerfors secured a 1-1 draw in this exact fixture during the previous season.
- Hammarby might rotate players if they prioritize upcoming high-stakes league fixtures over this trip.
Confidence explanation
High confidence is driven by the 4-0 H2H result, though the hosts' recent win in their last five games adds slight unpredictability.
Final verdict
Hammarby FF should outclass the struggling hosts to maintain their title charge; please gamble responsibly.
Key match statistics
Degerfors IF
vs
Hammarby FF
Form (last 5)
WinDrawLoss
Degerfors IF
WLLLL
#14
League position
#2
1.00
Goals / match
2.30
1.60
Goals against / match
1.00
3
Clean sheets
8
9
Failed to score
2
AI league insights
Average confidence
59%
Average odds
1.96
Confidence distribution
n=11Low · 6
Medium · 2
High · 3
Home / Draw / Away split
n=0n=0
Top bet types
- 1 - Home Win5 · 45%
- Over 2.5 Goals3 · 27%
- 2 - Away Win2 · 18%
Standings
| # | Club | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | +24 | 55 | LDWWW |
| 2 | Hammarby FF | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | +31 | 49 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Djurgardens IF | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | +29 | 48 | DWWLW |
| 4 |  BK Hacken | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | +17 | 45 | WWWWD |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | +13 | 43 | DDDWW |
| 6 |  Vasteras SK FK | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | -2 | 38 | LWLWW |
| 7 |  AIK Stockholm | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | -3 | 38 | DWDLL |
| 8 |  Malmo FF | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | +4 | 37 | DLWLW |
| 9 |  IFK Goteborg | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | -9 | 37 | DDWWW |
| 10 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 33 | WLWLL |
| 11 |  Gais | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | +5 | 31 | DLLWL |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -14 | 23 | LLDLD |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | -18 | 22 | LWLLL |
| 14 | Degerfors IF | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -20 | 20 | LLDLL |
| 15 |  Orgryte IS | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -25 | 19 | DWLLL |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | -28 | 17 | WLLWL |
Last 5 head-to-head
- 2026-07-19Hammarby FF4-0Degerfors IF
- 2025-11-03Degerfors IF1-1Hammarby FF
- 2025-05-26Hammarby FF1-0Degerfors IF
- 2023-05-25Degerfors IF2-2Hammarby FF
- 2023-04-02Hammarby FF3-1Degerfors IF
All meetings
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 September 2026 at 17:30 | Allsvenskan | Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF | 0 : 1 |
| 19 July 2026 at 17:30 | Allsvenskan | Hammarby FF vs Degerfors IF | 4 : 0 |
Prediction reviews
Matchup hit rate: 100% (2/2 settled tips correct)
- Correct
Degerfors IF 0 : 1 Hammarby FF
20 September 2026 at 17:30 · Allsvenskan
Pick: 2 - Away WinOdds: 1.75Confidence: 72% - Correct
Hammarby FF 4 : 0 Degerfors IF
19 July 2026 at 17:30 · Allsvenskan
Pick: 1 - Home WinOdds: 1.65Confidence: 72%
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