Liga MX01:00Liga MXVIP
Club Queretaro
vs
Leon
Club Queretaro vs Leon Prediction
Final scoreClub Queretaro 1 – 1 Leon
Pick: 1 - Home Win✕ Prediction incorrect
Next meetingTo be announced — no fixture scheduled yet between Club Queretaro and Leon.
AI recommended bet
1 - Home Win
Odds
2.15
Confidence
62%
Predicted score
2-0
Prediction summary
Club Queretaro are tipped to secure a home victory, leveraging their superior league standing and a defensive unit that concedes just one goal per game.
Why we like this pick
- Club Queretaro hold a three-point lead over Leon and sit seven places higher in the table.
- The hosts maintain a solid defensive record at home with an average of 1.0 goals conceded.
- Leon have suffered two defeats in their last ten matches while Queretaro won the last H2H.
Tactical analysis
Club Queretaro are likely to dictate the tempo through a structured mid-block, aiming to exploit Leon's tendency to concede away from home. Leon usually relies on high-volume shooting, but Queretaro’s defensive average of 1.0 goals against per game suggests a disciplined containment strategy. The game should settle into a pattern where the home side prioritizes efficiency over possession, waiting for transitions to utilize their 1.4 scoring average.
Club Queretaro form
Club Queretaro currently occupy 5th place with 13 points, showcasing consistency through four wins in ten games. Their attack is reliable, averaging 1.4 goals per match while maintaining two clean sheets this term.
Leon form
Leon sit in 12th position with 10 points and a neutral goal difference of zero. Although they won six of their last seven, their overall season consistency lags behind the hosts.
Why the model expects this outcome
The model favors the home side because their 5th-place ranking aligns with a stable 1.1 goal difference per match. Queretaro's ability to limit opponents to one goal or less at home makes them the mathematical favorite against a mid-table Leon.
Goal output (xG proxy)
With Queretaro averaging 1.4 goals for and Leon averaging 1.6, the clinical edge rests slightly with the hosts' defensive stability.
Risk factors
- Leon’s recent momentum could overwhelm Queretaro’s defensive structure despite the current league standings.
- A low-scoring draw is possible if Queretaro fails to convert their 1.4 goals-per-game average.
Confidence explanation
The high confidence is tempered by Leon's recent run of six wins in seven games, suggesting they are currently in peak form.
Final verdict
Back Club Queretaro to take all three points in a disciplined performance; please gamble responsibly.
Key match statistics
Club Queretaro
vs
Leon
Form (last 5)
WinDrawLoss
Club Queretaro
LLWWL
Leon
WWWWW
#5
League position
#12
1.40
Goals / match
N/A
1.00
Goals against / match
N/A
2
Clean sheets
N/A
2
Failed to score
N/A
AI league insights
Average confidence
61%
Average odds
2.28
Value picks
1
Odds ≥ 2.00 and confidence ≥ 60%
Confidence distribution
n=10Low · 3
Medium · 5
High · 2
Home / Draw / Away split
n=0n=0
Top bet types
- 1 - Home Win5 · 50%
- X - Draw3 · 30%
- 2 - Away Win2 · 20%
Standings
| # | Club | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 27 | LWWDW |
| 2 |  Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 26 | WWWDD |
| 3 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +9 | 26 | WWDDL |
| 4 |  Atlas | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 24 | WLWDW |
| 5 |  Toluca | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +10 | 23 | DDDLD |
| 6 | Club Leon | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 | DWLDW |
| 7 | Monterrey | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 20 | LWWDL |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 20 | WDDDL |
| 9 | Club Queretaro | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 20 | LLLWW |
| 10 |  Santos Laguna | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 19 | LWWWW |
| 11 |  Atletico San Luis | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 19 | WWDLW |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 17 | DLWDL |
| 13 |  CF Pachuca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | +3 | 16 | WLLDL |
| 14 |  Puebla | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 16 | LLDDL |
| 15 |  Tigres UANL | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -4 | 15 | DLDWW |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -6 | 14 | LWLLW |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -11 | 10 | DLLDL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -24 | 5 | DLLDL |
Last 5 head-to-head
- 2026-02-07Club Queretaro2-0Leon
- 2025-08-30Leon3-0Club Queretaro
- 2025-04-05Club Queretaro1-1Leon
- 2024-10-26Leon4-0Club Queretaro
- 2024-04-06Leon0-2Club Queretaro
All meetings
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 September 2026 at 05:10 | Liga MX | Club Queretaro vs Leon | 1 : 1 |
Prediction reviews
Matchup hit rate: 0% (0/1 settled tips correct)
- Incorrect
Club Queretaro 1 : 1 Leon
21 September 2026 at 05:10 · Liga MX
Pick: 1 - Home WinOdds: 2.15Confidence: 62%
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