Primera Nacional01:30Primera NacionalVIP
Patronato
vs
Club Atlético Güemes
Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes Prediction
Final scorePatronato 2 – 0 Club Atlético Güemes
Pick: 1 - Home Win✓ Prediction correct
Next meetingTo be announced — no fixture scheduled yet between Patronato and Club Atlético Güemes.
AI recommended bet
1 - Home Win
Odds
1.95
Confidence
62%
Predicted score
1-0
Prediction summary
Patronato are favored to take all three points due to Club Atlético Güemes' abysmal away record, having failed to secure a single victory on the road this season.
Why we like this pick
- Club Atlético Güemes have zero wins and six losses in their last ten away matches
- The visitors have scored just 3 goals in 10 games, averaging 0.3 per match
- Patronato hold a significant 11-point lead over their opponents in the league standings
Tactical analysis
Expect a low-tempo affair where Patronato dominates possession against a Güemes side that will likely sit deep to protect their fragile defense. Given the visitors' inability to score, the home side can afford to be patient, focusing on breaking down a unit that has conceded 15 goals in ten trips. Most of the play will occur in the middle third as the visitors prioritize avoiding another defeat.
Patronato form
Patronato currently sit 16th in the table with 34 points and a defensive record of 12 clean sheets. While they have only two wins in their last ten, their 1.1 goals-per-game average at home remains stable.
Club Atlético Güemes form
Club Atlético Güemes are struggling in 18th place with a worrying -30 goal difference overall. Their recent form is poor, picking up only one point from a possible fifteen in their latest five fixtures.
Why the model expects this outcome
The model weighs the visitors' complete lack of away wins heavily against Patronato's superior league position. Despite several draws in the H2H history, the current disparity in goal-scoring form makes a home win the most probable outcome.
Goal output (xG proxy)
The visitors' average of 0.3 goals scored away suggests they lack the offensive tools to exploit Patronato's 1.0 goals-against average.
Risk factors
- Club Atlético Güemes have managed to draw three of their last five meetings with Patronato
- Patronato have failed to score in 15 matches this season, risking a 0-0 stalemate
Confidence explanation
The high number of draws in Patronato's home form and recent H2H history prevents the confidence from reaching higher levels.
Final verdict
Patronato should edge this contest against a toothless away side; please gamble responsibly.
Key match statistics
Patronato
vs
Club Atlético Güemes
Form (last 5)
WinDrawLoss
Patronato
LWDLD
Club Atlético Güemes
DDDDL
#16
League position
#18
0.90
Goals / match
N/A
1.00
Goals against / match
N/A
12
Clean sheets
N/A
15
Failed to score
N/A
AI league insights
Average confidence
53%
Average odds
2.15
Value picks
2
Odds ≥ 2.00 and confidence ≥ 60%
Confidence distribution
n=16Low · 9
Medium · 5
High · 2
Home / Draw / Away split
n=0n=0
Top bet types
- Under 2.5 Goals10 · 63%
- 2 - Away Win3 · 19%
- 1 - Home Win2 · 13%
Standings
Group 1
| # | Club | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ferro Carril Oeste | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | +9 | 61 | LWWDD |
| 2 |  Deportivo Moron | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | +19 | 58 | WLLWW |
| 3 |  Godoy Cruz | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | +13 | 56 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | +18 | 53 | WDWLW |
| 5 |  Colon Santa Fe | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | +14 | 52 | WDWLL |
| 6 |  Almirante Brown | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | +4 | 46 | LLLDD |
| 7 |  CA Estudiantes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | +2 | 45 | LWWWL |
| 8 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | -1 | 45 | WWLDL |
| 9 |  Los Andes | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | +2 | 40 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  Chaco For Ever | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 37 | DLWDW |
| 11 |  Defensores De Belgrano | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | -4 | 37 | DLWWD |
| 12 | San Telmo | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 | WWLWD |
| 13 |  Racing Cordoba | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -10 | 37 | DDLLL |
| 14 |  Atletico Mitre | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | -10 | 35 | WLLDD |
| 15 |  Central Norte | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | -9 | 33 | DDLDD |
| 16 |  All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | -10 | 33 | LDDLW |
| 17 |  San Miguel | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | -13 | 31 | LLDDL |
| 18 |  Acassuso | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -13 | 29 | LWWLL |
Group 2
| # | Club | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tristan Suarez | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | +17 | 59 | DDWDD |
| 2 |  Temperley | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | +12 | 56 | WLWDW |
| 3 |  Atlanta | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | +8 | 55 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Gimnasia Jujuy | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | +8 | 54 | LDDWW |
| 5 |  Midland | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | +12 | 51 | WDLWW |
| 6 |  Gimnasia Y Tiro | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | +4 | 48 | LWLDW |
| 7 |  Deportivo Maipu | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | +8 | 47 | WWDDD |
| 8 |  Colegiales | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | +1 | 47 | DWWLW |
| 9 |  San Martin S.J. | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | +2 | 45 | LLWDL |
| 10 |  San Martin Tucuman | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | +3 | 43 | WDLWL |
| 11 |  Atletico DE Rafaela | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 42 | LLLWL |
| 12 |  Almagro | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 41 | WWLLD |
| 13 |  Agropecuario | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 40 | WDLWL |
| 14 |  Quilmes | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | +2 | 39 | LDWLW |
| 15 |  Nueva Chicago | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | -7 | 36 | LWDLW |
| 16 | Patronato | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | -5 | 34 | LWDDD |
| 17 |  Chacarita Juniors | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | -10 | 33 | LWLWL |
| 18 | Club Atlético Güemes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -31 | 23 | LLLLL |
Last 5 head-to-head
- 2026-05-24Club Atlético Güemes1-0Patronato
- 2025-06-22Patronato1-1Club Atlético Güemes
- 2025-02-15Club Atlético Güemes1-1Patronato
- 2024-08-03Club Atlético Güemes2-1Patronato
- 2024-03-17Patronato0-0Club Atlético Güemes
All meetings
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 October 2026 at 22:00 | Primera Nacional | Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes | 2 : 0 |
Prediction reviews
Matchup hit rate: 100% (1/1 settled tips correct)
- Correct
Patronato 2 : 0 Club Atlético Güemes
11 October 2026 at 22:00 · Primera Nacional
Pick: 1 - Home WinOdds: 1.95Confidence: 62%
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