Liga MX05:00Liga MXVIP
CF Pachuca
vs
Cruz Azul
CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul Prediction
Final scoreCF Pachuca 1 – 2 Cruz Azul
Pick: BTTS - Yes✓ Prediction correct
Next meetingTo be announced — no fixture scheduled yet between CF Pachuca and Cruz Azul.
AI recommended bet
BTTS - Yes
Odds
1.72
Confidence
42%
Predicted score
2-2
Prediction summary
This Liga MX clash favors Both Teams to Score as two defensively vulnerable sides meet at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, with Cruz Azul averaging 2.0 goals scored per match.
Why we like this pick
- Cruz Azul has conceded 1.9 goals per game while keeping just one clean sheet all season.
- CF Pachuca maintains a consistent scoring rate of 1.6 goals per home fixture this campaign.
- Four of the last five head-to-head meetings between these clubs saw both sides find the net.
Tactical analysis
The match will likely be dictated by Cruz Azul's high-event style, characterized by their high scoring average and equally high concession rate. CF Pachuca will look to exploit the space left by the visitors' aggressive wing-backs. Expect a transitional game where both midfields are bypassed frequently, leading to multiple opportunities in the final third for both sides as they chase crucial points for playoff positioning.
CF Pachuca form
CF Pachuca currently sits 11th in the standings with 13 points after 10 matches played. Their form has been inconsistent, recording three draws in their last five outings while maintaining a positive goal difference of four.
Cruz Azul form
Cruz Azul occupies 7th place but struggles defensively, shipping 17 goals in just 10 league games. Despite these defensive lapses, they remain dangerous offensively, netting 15 times and winning three of their last five matches.
Why the model expects this outcome
The model identifies a high probability for goals based on Cruz Azul's poor defensive record paired with Pachuca's steady home output. With both teams having failed to score in only two matches each this season, the data strongly supports offensive success.
Goal output (xG proxy)
The combined goals-for average of 3.6 per game suggests a high-scoring environment where clean sheets are statistically unlikely for either defense.
Risk factors
- A tactical shift to a low block by Pachuca could stifle the game's tempo.
- Clinical finishing might desert both teams despite the high number of created chances.
Confidence explanation
High historical volatility in Liga MX outcomes slightly lowers the confidence, alongside Pachuca's tendency to settle for low-scoring draws recently.
Final verdict
Backing both teams to find the net is the most logical play; please gamble responsibly.
Key match statistics
CF Pachuca
vs
Cruz Azul
Form (last 5)
WinDrawLoss
CF Pachuca
DDLWL
Cruz Azul
WWWLL
#11
League position
#7
1.60
Goals / match
2.00
1.30
Goals against / match
1.90
3
Clean sheets
1
2
Failed to score
2
AI league insights
Average confidence
57%
Average odds
2.35
Confidence distribution
n=11Low · 4
Medium · 6
High · 1
Home / Draw / Away split
n=0n=0
Top bet types
- 1 - Home Win4 · 36%
- 2 - Away Win3 · 27%
- X - Draw3 · 27%
Standings
| # | Club | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 | WDWDL |
| 2 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 23 | WDDLD |
| 3 |  Toluca | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 21 | DLDLW |
| 4 |  Leon | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 21 | WLDWD |
| 5 |  Atlas | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 21 | WDWDL |
| 6 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 20 | WDDLW |
| 7 |  Club Queretaro | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 20 | LLWWD |
| 8 |  Monterrey | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 17 | WDLWD |
| 9 |  Santos Laguna | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 16 | DDLDL |
| 11 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 | WDLDL |
| 12 |  Puebla | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 | DDLDL |
| 13 |  Atletico San Luis | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 16 | WDLWW |
| 14 |  Tigres UANL | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 | LDWWL |
| 15 |  Atlante FC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 14 | WLLWD |
| 16 | CF Pachuca | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 13 | LDLDW |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -11 | 9 | LLDLL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 4 | LLDLW |
Last 5 head-to-head
- 2026-04-05Cruz Azul1-2CF Pachuca
- 2025-09-13CF Pachuca0-1Cruz Azul
- 2025-02-09Cruz Azul2-1CF Pachuca
- 2024-09-29CF Pachuca2-4Cruz Azul
- 2024-01-14Cruz Azul0-1CF Pachuca
All meetings
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 October 2026 at 06:10 | Liga MX | CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul | 1 : 2 |
Prediction reviews
Matchup hit rate: 100% (1/1 settled tips correct)
- Correct
CF Pachuca 1 : 2 Cruz Azul
22 October 2026 at 06:10 · Liga MX
Pick: BTTS - YesOdds: 1.72Confidence: 42%
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