Le Havre vs Auxerre Prediction

Tactical analysis

Le Havre typically prioritize a low block to mitigate their 1.3 goals-against average, but they lack the clinical edge to punish opponents. Auxerre play a more expansive style that leaves them vulnerable, evidenced by their high conceded rate of 2.7 per match. This mismatch in styles often results in a cagey midfield battle where both sides cancel each other out during transitions.

Why the model expects this outcome

The model leans toward a draw because Le Havre's poor win rate of 22% matches Auxerre's defensive fragility. With both teams averaging roughly one goal per game and sitting in the bottom three, a share of the points is statistically probable.

Goal output (xG proxy)

The combined goals-for average suggests a low-scoring affair, as neither side consistently generates high-quality chances against disciplined setups.

Risk factors

• Le Havre's 1.3 goals-against average could be exploited by Auxerre's consistent scoring record.
• Auxerre's poor defensive stats might allow Le Havre to secure a rare home victory.

Confidence explanation

Confidence is tempered by Auxerre's high conceding rate, which could lead to an unpredictable high-scoring loss if Le Havre improves their finishing.

Final verdict

A draw appears the most logical outcome for these struggling sides; please remember to gamble responsibly.

Last 5 head-to-head

• 2026-04-05Le Havre1-1Auxerre
• 2025-10-26Auxerre0-1Le Havre
• 2025-05-04Auxerre1-2Le Havre
• 2024-09-01Le Havre3-1Auxerre
• 2022-05-07Le Havre1-2Auxerre

All meetings