Primera Nacional01:30Primera NacionalVIP
Atlanta
vs
San Martin Tucuman
Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman Prediction
Final scoreAtlanta 1 – 0 San Martin Tucuman
Pick: 1 - Home Win✓ Prediction correct
Next meetingTo be announced — no fixture scheduled yet between Atlanta and San Martin Tucuman.
AI recommended bet
1 - Home Win
Odds
1.95
Confidence
62%
Predicted score
1-0
Prediction summary
Atlanta should secure a home victory as they look to consolidate their top-four position against a struggling San Martin Tucuman side that lacks consistency.
Why we like this pick
- Atlanta currently sits 4th in the standings with a significant 12-point lead over the visitors.
- San Martin Tucuman has managed only two wins in their last ten fixtures.
- The visitors failed to score in nearly one-third of their matches this season.
Tactical analysis
Atlanta likely utilizes their home advantage to control the tempo, focusing on breaking down a side that has kept 11 clean sheets. San Martin Tucuman typically adopts a conservative approach, as shown by their 1.1 goals scored average. The midfield battle will be dictated by Atlanta's ability to bypass a visitors' setup that has conceded 1.7 goals per game over their last ten outings.
Atlanta form
Atlanta occupies 4th place with 52 points, maintaining a strong positive goal difference of seven. Their recent form of three wins from five matches shows the momentum required for promotion contention.
San Martin Tucuman form
San Martin Tucuman sits 11th and has struggled for rhythm, securing just 40 points so far. Their away form is concerning, evidenced by a recent run of two consecutive losses.
Why the model expects this outcome
The model favors the home side due to the 12-point gulf in the standings and Atlanta's superior recent form. San Martin Tucuman's high rate of failing to score makes a home win the most probable outcome.
Goal output (xG proxy)
The visitors' average of one goal conceded per game suggests a tight defensive unit that Atlanta must patiently dismantle.
Risk factors
- San Martin Tucuman has kept clean sheets in 35 percent of their league fixtures.
- The last head-to-head meeting ended in a narrow 1-0 result.
Confidence explanation
Atlanta's lack of specific home-only data slightly lowers the confidence, though their overall rank provides a solid baseline.
Final verdict
Back Atlanta to take all three points here, but always remember to gamble responsibly.
Key match statistics
Atlanta
vs
San Martin Tucuman
Form (last 5)
WinDrawLoss
San Martin Tucuman
WDDLL
#4
League position
#11
N/A
Goals / match
1.10
N/A
Goals against / match
1.00
N/A
Clean sheets
11
N/A
Failed to score
10
AI league insights
Average confidence
53%
Average odds
2.15
Value picks
2
Odds ≥ 2.00 and confidence ≥ 60%
Confidence distribution
n=16Low · 9
Medium · 5
High · 2
Home / Draw / Away split
n=0n=0
Top bet types
- Under 2.5 Goals10 · 63%
- 2 - Away Win3 · 19%
- 1 - Home Win2 · 13%
Standings
Group 1
| # | Club | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ferro Carril Oeste | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | +9 | 61 | LWWDD |
| 2 |  Deportivo Moron | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | +19 | 58 | WLLWW |
| 3 |  Godoy Cruz | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | +13 | 56 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | +18 | 53 | WDWLW |
| 5 |  Colon Santa Fe | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | +14 | 52 | WDWLL |
| 6 |  Almirante Brown | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | +4 | 46 | LLLDD |
| 7 |  CA Estudiantes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | +2 | 45 | LWWWL |
| 8 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | -1 | 45 | WWLDL |
| 9 |  Los Andes | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | +2 | 40 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  Chaco For Ever | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 37 | DLWDW |
| 11 |  Defensores De Belgrano | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | -4 | 37 | DLWWD |
| 12 | San Telmo | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 | WWLWD |
| 13 |  Racing Cordoba | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -10 | 37 | DDLLL |
| 14 |  Atletico Mitre | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | -10 | 35 | WLLDD |
| 15 |  Central Norte | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | -9 | 33 | DDLDD |
| 16 |  All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | -10 | 33 | LDDLW |
| 17 |  San Miguel | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | -13 | 31 | LLDDL |
| 18 |  Acassuso | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -13 | 29 | LWWLL |
Group 2
| # | Club | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tristan Suarez | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | +17 | 59 | DDWDD |
| 2 |  Temperley | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | +12 | 56 | WLWDW |
| 3 | Atlanta | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | +8 | 55 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Gimnasia Jujuy | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | +8 | 54 | LDDWW |
| 5 |  Midland | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | +12 | 51 | WDLWW |
| 6 |  Gimnasia Y Tiro | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | +4 | 48 | LWLDW |
| 7 |  Deportivo Maipu | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | +8 | 47 | WWDDD |
| 8 |  Colegiales | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | +1 | 47 | DWWLW |
| 9 |  San Martin S.J. | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | +2 | 45 | LLWDL |
| 10 | San Martin Tucuman | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | +3 | 43 | WDLWL |
| 11 |  Atletico DE Rafaela | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 42 | LLLWL |
| 12 |  Almagro | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 41 | WWLLD |
| 13 |  Agropecuario | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 40 | WDLWL |
| 14 |  Quilmes | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | +2 | 39 | LDWLW |
| 15 |  Nueva Chicago | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | -7 | 36 | LWDLW |
| 16 |  Patronato | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | -5 | 34 | LWDDD |
| 17 |  Chacarita Juniors | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | -10 | 33 | LWLWL |
| 18 |  Club Atlético Güemes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -31 | 23 | LLLLL |
Last 5 head-to-head
- 2026-05-24San Martin Tucuman0-1Atlanta
- 2025-09-14San Martin Tucuman4-0Atlanta
- 2025-05-11Atlanta3-1San Martin Tucuman
- 2022-07-23San Martin Tucuman0-0Atlanta
- 2021-08-18San Martin Tucuman3-0Atlanta
All meetings
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 October 2026 at 21:00 | Primera Nacional | Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman | 1 : 0 |
Prediction reviews
Matchup hit rate: 100% (1/1 settled tips correct)
- Correct
Atlanta 1 : 0 San Martin Tucuman
11 October 2026 at 21:00 · Primera Nacional
Pick: 1 - Home WinOdds: 1.95Confidence: 62%
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